Just look at Pat Ryan’s special election win. Wade with the Dobbs decision has put enormous wind into the sails of Democrats and a surprising number of well informed and veteran Democrats are even contemplating that the party might hold the House as a result. The conventional Democratic thinking goes as follows: The Supreme Court’s overturning of Roe v. Will Rogers’ famous quote that he “belong(ed) to no organized party,” while he was a Democrat, rings as true today as it did in his era, at the turn of the last century. Indeed, based upon our 20 years of studying public opinion and working on political races up and down the ballot, what we see today in the polls is far more imagined than real.Īnd what confounds us further is that in our experience, Republicans are typically the ones who get in line, and corralling Democrats into agreement about almost anything is like herding cats. Over the last several months, we have been watching Democrats blindly deceiving themselves that the debate over abortion rights will be their electoral salvation in the November 2022 mid-term elections. Biden is right on the policy of reproductive freedom, but wrong on the politics of placing so much emphasis on this as the winning issue. Biden also was to attend a private fundraiser in Manhattan where he was expected to give a full-throated pitch that Democrats must be elected in key races across the state in order to protect a woman’s right to choose. President Joe Biden’s visit to the Hudson Valley and New York City this week is a reminder that the White House and Democratic messaging apparatus needs to pivot away from abortion politics to instead speak to the leading issue facing New Yorkers today, namely jobs and the economy.īiden’s visit to IBM to talk about jobs creation is a reminder that even in New York, abortion rights are not the silver bullet that Democrats need to win in November 2022.
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